Kyushu University Academic Staff Educational and Research Activities Database
List of Papers
Last modified date:2023.11.28

Assistant Professor / Center for Cohort Studies / Faculty of Medical Sciences


Papers
1. Emi Oishi, Shuntaro Kagiyama, Susumu Ohmori, Takunori Seki, Daisuke Maebuchi, Osamu Kohno, Mitsuhiro Tominaga, Mitsuo Iida, Association of systolic blood pressure and pulse pressure with carotid intima thickness in elderly Japanese patients., Clinical and experimental hypertension (New York, N.Y. : 1993), 10.3109/10641963.2013.780072, 35, 4, 273-8, 2013.06, Many studies have demonstrated that increased carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) is related to future cardiovascular events and is influenced by cardiovascular risk factors such as sex, hypertension, diabetes, and hypercholesterolemia. Although aging is a well-known risk factor for an increase in carotid IMT, few studies have investigated which factors influence carotid IMT in the very elderly. In the present study, we investigated the relationship of pulse pressure (PP), blood pressure (BP), and its variability (six consecutive visits) with carotid IMT among 240 high-risk elderly in whom risk factors were managed clinically (average age was 79 ± 5 years). In the simple correlation, mean systolic BP (SBP) had a positive correlation with IMT and max IMT (P = .012 and P = .045), as did PP (P = .018 and P = .004), but did not diastolic BP or standard deviation of BP and coefficient of variation of BP. In multiple regression analyses, mean SBP and mean PP were each determinants of both IMT and max IMT, when each parameter was added separately to the regression model. We concluded that high SBP and wide PP still have an influence on increased carotid IMT in the very elderly Japanese patients..
2. Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Takuya Tsuchihashi, Mitsuhiro Tominaga, Koji Fujii, Orthostatic Hypotension Predicts a Poor Prognosis in Elderly People with Dementia., Internal medicine (Tokyo, Japan), 10.2169/internalmedicine.55.4524, 55, 15, 1947-52, 2015.11, Objective The purpose of the present study was to assess the prevalence of orthostatic hypotension (OH) and elucidate its associations with the demographic characteristics and the prognosis in elderly subjects with dementia who visited a hospital for elderly daycare. Methods A total of 64 outpatients (44 females) with a mean age of 84±6 years who visited a hospital for daycare were enrolled in the study. The prevalence of OH and demographic characteristics were examined. Then, the subjects were followed up for 1 year. The blood pressure was measured in the supine position and immediately, 1, 3 and 5 minutes after standing. Poor outcome measures included death, hospitalization for any reason, and admission to a nursing home or geriatric facility. Results OH was present in 17 patients (26.6%). The presence of OH was associated with a higher supine systolic blood pressure. The increase in heart rate in the standing position was also reduced in subjects with OH compared with those without. The presence of OH was associated with faster time in the timed up-and-go test compared with those without OH. During the follow-up period, 22 patients (34.4%) had a poor prognosis, of which 8 (36.4%) had OH, which tended to be higher than those with a favorable prognosis. The event-free survival rate appeared to be lower in subjects with OH than in those without. Conclusion OH is relatively common in frail elderly patients with dementia, and it also appears to be associated with a poor prognosis..
3. Yuki Morinaga, Kiyoshi Matsumura, Yasuo Kansui, Satoko Sakata, Kenichi Goto, Yoshie Haga, Emi Oishi, Takunori Seki, Toshio Ohtsubo, Takanari Kitazono, Impact of obstructive sleep apnea on blood pressure and cardiovascular risk factors in Japanese men: A cross-sectional study in work-site group., Clinical and experimental hypertension (New York, N.Y. : 1993), 10.1080/10641963.2017.1324476, 40, 1, 73-78, 2017.11, It has been shown that obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is related to hypertension and cardiovascular disease; however, the prevalence of OSA in general population and the impact of it on blood pressure especially in Japan has not been well determined. We have conducted a screening test for OSA from 2003 to 2011. In addition, a cross-sectional analysis was performed in 2012 to determine the association of OSA and cardiovascular risk factors in Japanese men (18-69 years of age; mean age, 44.4 ± 0.2). The study group consisted of 2208 male employees, and OSA was evaluated by using the 4% oxygen desaturation index and apnea-hypopnea index (AHI). The prevalence of mild-to-moderate (5≤AHI
4. Takanori Honda, Tomoyuki Ohara, Daigo Yoshida, Mao Shibata, Yuki Ishida, Yoshihiko Furuta, Emi Oishi, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Satoko Sakata, Jun Hata, Tomohiro Nakao, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Development of a dementia prediction model for primary care: The Hisayama Study., Alzheimer's & dementia (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 10.1002/dad2.12221, 13, 1, e12221, 2021.07, Introduction: We aimed to develop a risk prediction model for incident dementia using predictors that are available in primary-care settings. Methods: A total of 795 subjects aged 65 years or over were prospectively followed-up from 1988 to 2012. A Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to develop a multivariable prediction model. The developed model was translated into a simplified scoring system based on the beta-coefficient. The discrimination of the model was assessed by Harrell's C statistic, and the calibration was assessed by a calibration plot. Results: During the follow-up period, 364 subjects developed dementia. In the multivariable model, age, female sex, low education, leanness, hypertension, diabetes, history of stroke, current smoking, and sedentariness were selected as predictors. The developed model and simplified score showed good discrimination and calibration. Discussion: The developed risk prediction model is feasible and practically useful in primary-care settings to identify individuals at high risk for future dementia..
5. Kenji Maki, Jun Hata, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Yoshihiko Furuta, Toshiaki Nakano, Yoshinao Oda, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Serum Uric Acid Levels and Nephrosclerosis in a Population-Based Autopsy Study: The Hisayama Study., American journal of nephrology, 10.1159/000521426, 53, 1, 69-77, 2022.01, INTRODUCTION: Information regarding the influence of serum uric acid (SUA) levels on pathological changes in the kidney is limited. In this study, we examined the association between SUA levels and pathological findings of nephrosclerosis in population-based autopsy samples. METHODS: A total of 923 deceased individuals in a Japanese community underwent autopsy examinations between 1974 and 1994. Of these, 547 individuals with available kidney tissues and health examination data within a median of 3 years before death were eligible for the present study. SUA levels were categorized into quintiles (Q1, 107-237; Q2, 238-279; Q3, 280-326; Q4, 327-380; Q5, 381-755 μmol/L). Advanced degrees of glomerular sclerosis, kidney arteriolar hyalinosis, and kidney arteriosclerosis were defined as the 90th percentile or more of a glomerular sclerosis index and an arteriolar hyalinosis index, and the 10th percentile or less of a wall-lumen ratio, respectively. A logistic regression model was used to evaluate odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of SUA levels on each kidney lesion. RESULTS: Higher SUA levels were significantly associated with higher values of the age- and sex-adjusted glomerular sclerosis index and lower values of the wall-lumen ratio (both p for trend
6. Minako Inoue, Takuya Tsuchihashi, Yasuyuki Hasuo, Masanobu Ogawa, Mitsuhiro Tominaga, Kimika Arakawa, Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Toshio Ohtsubo, Kiyoshi Matsumura, Takanari Kitazono, Salt Intake, Home Blood Pressure, and Perinatal Outcome in Pregnant Women., Circulation journal : official journal of the Japanese Circulation Society, 10.1253/circj.CJ-16-0405, 80, 10, 2165-72, 2016.09, BACKGROUND: The relationship between salt (sodium chloride) intake and pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH) remains unclear. The aim of this study was therefore to investigate the current status of salt intake during pregnancy and identify effective predictors for PIH. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants were 184 pregnant women who collected 24-h home urine as well as early morning urine samples. We investigated urinary salt excretion, home blood pressure (HBP) measurements for 7 consecutive days before the 20th and after the 30th gestational week, and the development of PIH. Urinary salt excretion according to early morning urine before the 20th gestational week was 8.6±1.7 g/day, and was significantly correlated with that measured from 24-h collected urine. Early morning urine estimated urinary salt excretion was slightly but significantly increased during pregnancy. HBP was 102±10/63±8 mmHg before the 20th gestational week and 104±12/64±10 mmHg after the 30th gestational week. On multiple regression analysis, serum uric acid and body mass index, but not urinary salt excretion, contributed to HBP both before the 20th and after the 30th gestational week. Fourteen participants (7.6%) developed PIH. On multivariate analysis, higher HBP and older age, but not urinary salt excretion, were significantly associated with PIH. CONCLUSIONS: Higher HBP and older age, but not urinary salt excretion, are predictors of PIH. (Circ J 2016; 80: 2165-2172)..
7. Tomoyuki Ohara, Emi Oishi, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Day-to-day blood pressure variability and dementia., Oncotarget, 10.18632/oncotarget.22993, 8, 70, 114416-114417, 2017.12.
8. 大石 絵美, 小原 知之, 坂田 智子, 福原 正代, 秦 淳, 吉田 大悟, 柴田 舞欧, 大坪 俊夫, 北園 孝成, 清原 裕, 二宮 利治, 家庭血圧の日間変動と認知症との関連 久山町研究(Day-to-day blood pressure variability and risk of dementia in a general Japanese elderly population:the Hisayama Study), 日本高血圧学会総会プログラム・抄録集, 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.025667, 41回, 6, YIA-1, 2018.09, BACKGROUND: Several observational studies have reported that higher visit-to-visit blood pressure variability is a risk factor for cognitive impairment and dementia. However, no studies have investigated the association of day-to-day blood pressure variability assessed by home blood pressure measurement with the development of dementia. METHODS: A total of 1674 community-dwelling Japanese elderly without dementia, ≥60 years of age, were followed up for 5 years (2007-2012). Home blood pressure was measured 3 times every morning for a median of 28 days. Day-to-day systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure variabilities, calculated as coefficients of variation (CoV) of home SBP and diastolic blood pressure, were categorized into quartiles. The hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals of the CoV levels of home blood pressure on the development of all-cause dementia, vascular dementia (VaD), and Alzheimer disease (AD) were computed with a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 194 subjects developed all-cause dementia; of these, 47 had VaD and 134 had AD. The age- and sex-adjusted incidences of all-cause dementia, VaD, and AD increased significantly with increasing CoV levels of home SBP (all P for trend
9. Yasuo Kansui, Kiyoshi Matsumura, Yuki Morinaga, Minako Inoue, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Kenichi Goto, Toshio Ohtsubo, Hiroaki Ooboshi, Takanari Kitazono, Impact of obstructive sleep apnea on long-term blood pressure variability in Japanese men: a cross-sectional study of a work-site population., Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension, 10.1038/s41440-018-0096-3, 41, 11, 957-964, 2018.11, Blood pressure variability (BPV) has been shown to be associated with cardiovascular diseases. The effects on long-term BPV of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are not yet known. We evaluated a total of 1653 Japanese male workers (18-69 years) at a work site to diagnose OSA, and we divided them into three groups: non-OSA (apnea-hypopnea index (AHI): 
10. Masako Asada, Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Jun Hata, Daigo Yoshida, Takanori Honda, Yoshihiko Furuta, Mao Shibata, Kosuke Suzuki, Hiroshi Watanabe, Norihito Murayama, Takanari Kitazono, Ken Yamaura, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Serum Lipopolysaccharide-Binding Protein Levels and the Incidence of Cardiovascular Disease in a General Japanese Population: The Hisayama Study., Journal of the American Heart Association, 10.1161/JAHA.119.013628, 8, 21, e013628, 2019.11, Background Epidemiological studies have reported a link between serum LBP (lipopolysaccharide-binding protein) levels and lifestyle-related diseases. However, there have been no longitudinal studies investigating the association of serum LBP levels and the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in general populations. Methods and Results A total of 2568 community-dwelling Japanese individuals 40 years and older without prior CVD were followed for 10 years (2002-2012). Serum LBP levels were divided into quartiles (quartile 1: 2.20-9.68 μg/mL; quartile 2: 9.69-10.93 μg/mL; quartile 3: 10.94-12.40 μg/mL; quartile 4: 12.41-24.34 μg/mL). The hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% CIs for the incidence of CVD were computed using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up period, 180 individuals developed CVD. The age- and sex-adjusted cumulative incidence of CVD increased significantly with higher serum LBP levels (P for trend=0.005). Individuals with higher serum LBP levels had a significantly greater risk of the development of CVD after adjusting for conventional cardiovascular risk factors (quartile 1: HR, 1.00 [reference]; quartile 2: HR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.60-1.78]; quartile 3: HR, 1.52 [95% CI, 0.92-2.51]; and quartile 4: HR, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.17-3.09]; P for trend=0.01). This association remained significant after additional adjustment for homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (P for trend=0.01). However, when additional adjustment was made for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, the association was attenuated to the nonsignificant level (P for trend=0.08). Conclusions The present findings suggest that higher serum LBP levels are associated with increased risk of the development of CVD in the general Japanese population. Low-grade endotoxemia may contribute to the pathogenesis of CVD through chronic systemic inflammation..
11. Satoko Sakata, Jun Hata, Takanori Honda, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Emi Oishi, Mao Shibata, Daigo Yoshida, Kenichi Goto, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Serum uric acid levels and cardiovascular mortality in a general Japanese population: the Hisayama Study., Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension, 10.1038/s41440-019-0390-8, 43, 6, 560-568, 2020.06, Studies on the association between serum uric acid levels and the risk of cardiovascular disease have yielded inconsistent results. We investigated the association of serum uric acid levels with cardiovascular disease mortality in a Japanese community. A total of 2633 community-dwelling Japanese people aged ≥40 years without a history of cardiovascular disease were followed up for 19 years. Serum uric acid levels were categorized into quintiles (Q1, lowest; Q5, highest). The hazard ratios for mortality from cardiovascular disease, stroke, and coronary heart disease were computed using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up, 235 subjects died from cardiovascular disease (including 84 from stroke and 53 from coronary heart disease). Risks for cardiovascular disease mortality were higher in both the Q1 and Q5 groups than in the Q3 group after adjustment for confounding factors (Q1, hazard ratio 1.50 [95% confidence interval 0.94-2.39]; Q2, 1.06 [0.66-1.72]; Q3, 1.00 [reference]; Q4, 1.44 [0.93-2.23]; and Q5, 1.89 [1.23-2.91]). A similar U-shaped association was observed for stroke mortality (Q1, 3.26 [1.29-8.25]; Q2, 2.21 [0.85-5.73]; Q3, 1.00 [reference]; Q4, 2.65 [1.07-6.58]; and Q5, 3.77 [1.54-9.24]), while coronary heart disease mortality was increased only in the Q5 group (Q1, 1.27 [0.46-3.50]; Q2, 0.85 [0.29-2.48]; Q3, 1.00 [reference]; Q4, 1.57 [0.63-3.92]; and Q5, 2.53 [1.03-6.18]). Elevated serum uric acid was suggested to be a significant risk factor for stroke or coronary heart disease mortality in a Japanese community. Conversely, the excess risk of stroke mortality in individuals with lower serum uric acid levels may indicate a possible cerebroprotective role of uric acid..
12. Sanmei Chen, Takanori Honda, Tomoyuki Ohara, Jun Hata, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Daigo Yoshida, Mao Shibata, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Yoshihiko Furuta, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Serum homocysteine and risk of dementia in Japan., Journal of neurology, neurosurgery, and psychiatry, 10.1136/jnnp-2019-322366, 91, 5, 540-546, 2020.05, OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between serum total homocysteine levels (tHcy) and dementia risk. METHODS: A total of 1588 Japanese adults aged ≥60 years without dementia were prospectively followed from 2002 to 2012. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic splines were used to estimate the HRs of tHcy levels on the risk of dementia. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 372 subjects developed all-cause dementia; 247 had Alzheimer's disease (AD) and 98 had vascular dementia (VaD). Compared with the lowest tHcy quintile (≤6.4 µmol/L), the multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CI) of the highest quintile (≥11.5 µmol/L) were 2.28 (1.51-3.43) for all-cause dementia, 1.96 (1.19-3.24) for AD and 2.51 (1.14-5.51) for VaD. In restricted cubic splines, the risk of all-cause dementia steadily increased between approximately 8-15 µmol/L and plateaued thereafter, with a similar non-linear shape observed for AD and VaD (all p for non-linearity ≤0.02). In stratified analyses by the most recognised genetic polymorphism affecting tHcy concentrations (methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase C677T), the positive association of tHcy with all-cause dementia persisted in both non-carriers and carriers of the risk allele, and even tended to be stronger in the former (p for heterogeneity=0.07). CONCLUSION: High serum tHcy levels are associated with an elevated risk of dementia, AD and VaD in a non-linear manner, such that an exposure-response association is present only within a relatively high range of tHcy levels. Non-genetic factors affecting serum tHcy concentrations may play important roles in tHcy-dementia associations irrespective of the genetic susceptibility for raised tHcy..
13. Takuya Nagata, Jun Hata, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Takanori Honda, Yoshihiko Furuta, Tomoyuki Ohara, Daigo Yoshida, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Mao Shibata, Tomomi Ide, Takanari Kitazono, Hiroyuki Tsutsui, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide as a predictor for future development of atrial fibrillation in a general population: the Hisayama Study., International journal of cardiology, 10.1016/j.ijcard.2020.06.018, 320, 90-96, 2020.12, BACKGROUND: Biomarkers for predicting future development of atrial fibrillation (AF) have not been fully established in general populations. The aim of this study was to assess the predictive ability of serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for the development of AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 3126 community-dwelling Japanese subjects aged ≥ 40 years without a history of AF in 2002 were followed up for a median of 10.2 years. Serum NT-proBNP levels at baseline were divided into four categories (≤ 54, 55-124, 125-299, and ≥ 300 pg/mL) according to the current guidelines and prior reports. The hazard ratios for the development of AF were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up period, 153 subjects developed new-onset AF. The age- and sex-adjusted cumulative incidence of AF increased significantly with higher serum NT-proBNP levels (p 
14. Kei Asayama, Yasuharu Tabara, Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Takashi Hisamatsu, Kayo Godai, Mai Kabayama, Yukako Tatsumi, Jun Hata, Masahiro Kikuya, Kei Kamide, Katsuyuki Miura, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Recent status of self-measured home blood pressure in the Japanese general population: a modern database on self-measured home blood pressure (MDAS)., Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension, 10.1038/s41440-020-0530-1, 43, 12, 1403-1412, 2020.08, Despite the clinical usefulness of self-measured home blood pressure (BP), reports on the characteristics of home BP have not been sufficient and have varied due to the measurement conditions in each study. We constructed a database on self-measured home BP, which included five Japanese general populations as subdivided aggregate data that were clustered and meta-analyzed according to sex, age category, and antihypertensive drug treatment at baseline (treated and untreated). The self-measured home BPs were collected after a few minutes of rest in a sitting position: (1) the morning home BP was measured within 1 h of waking, after urination, before breakfast, and before taking antihypertensive medication (if any); and (2) the evening home BP was measured just before going to bed. The pulse rate was simultaneously measured. Eligible data from 2000 onward were obtained. The morning BP was significantly higher in treated participants than in untreated people of the same age category, and the BP difference was more marked in women. Among untreated residents, home systolic/diastolic BPs measured in the morning were higher than those measured in the evening; the differences were 5.7/5.0 mmHg in women (ranges across the cohorts, 5.3-6.8/4.7-5.4 mmHg) and 7.3/7.7 mmHg in men (ranges, 6.4-8.5/7.0-8.7 mmHg). In contrast, the home pulse rate in women and men was 2.4 (range, 1.5-3.7) and 5.6 (range, 4.6-6.6) beats per minute, respectively, higher in the evening than in the morning. We demonstrated the current status of home BP and home pulse rate in relation to sex, age, and antihypertensive treatment status in the Japanese general population. The approach by which fine-clustered aggregate statistics were collected and integrated could address practical issues raised in epidemiological research settings..
15. Daigo Yoshida, Tomoyuki Ohara, Jun Hata, Mao Shibata, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Takanori Honda, Yoshihiko Furuta, Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Shigenobu Kanba, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Lifetime cumulative incidence of dementia in a community-dwelling elderly population in Japan., Neurology, 10.1212/WNL.0000000000009917, 95, 5, e508-e518, 2020.08, OBJECTIVE: To estimate the lifetime cumulative incidence of dementia and its subtypes from a community-dwelling elderly population in Japan. METHODS: A total of 1,193 community-dwelling Japanese individuals without dementia, aged 60 years or older, were followed up prospectively for 17 years. The cumulative incidence of dementia was estimated based on a death- and dementia-free survival function and the hazard functions of dementia at each year, which were computed by using a Weibull proportional hazards model. The lifetime risk of dementia was defined as the cumulative incidence of dementia at the point in time when the survival probability of the population was estimated to be less than 0.5%. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 350 participants experienced some type of dementia; among them, 191 participants developed Alzheimer disease (AD) and 117 developed vascular dementia (VaD). The lifetime risk of dementia was 55% (95% confidence interval, 49%-60%). Women had an approximately 1.5 times greater lifetime risk of dementia than men (65% [57%-72%] vs 41% [33%-49%]). The lifetime risks of developing AD and VaD were 42% (35%-50%) and 16% (12%-21%) in women vs 20% (7%-34%) and 18% (13%-23%) in men, respectively. CONCLUSION: Lifetime risk of all dementia for Japanese elderly was substantial at approximately 50% or higher. This study suggests that the lifetime burden attributable to dementia in contemporary Japanese communities is immense..
16. Yuki Ishida, Daigo Yoshida, Takanori Honda, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Mao Shibata, Satoko Sakata, Yoshihiko Furuta, Emi Oishi, Jun Hata, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Influence of the Accumulation of Unhealthy Eating Habits on Obesity in a General Japanese Population: The Hisayama Study., Nutrients, 10.3390/nu12103160, 12, 10, 2020.10, Few studies have examined the association between the accumulation of unhealthy eating habits and the likelihood of obesity or central obesity in a general Japanese population. We examined this association in a sample of 1906 community-dwelling Japanese subjects (age: 40-74 years) who participated in a health check-up in 2014. A face-to-face questionnaire interview was conducted to collect information about three unhealthy eating habits, i.e., snacking, eating quickly, and eating late-evening meals. Obesity was defined as body mass index ≥25 kg/m2 and central obesity was defined as waist circumference ≥90 cm in men and ≥80 cm in women. The odds ratios (OR) were estimated by using a logistic regression analysis. Subjects with any one of the three eating habits had a significantly higher likelihood of obesity than those without that habit after adjusting for confounding factors. The multivariable-adjusted OR for obesity increased linearly with an increase in the number of accumulated unhealthy eating habits (p for trend
17. Mao Shibata, Tomoyuki Ohara, Masako Hosoi, Hata Jun, Daigo Yoshida, Naoki Hirabayashi, Yukiko Morisaki, Taro Nakazawa, Akane Mihara, Takuya Nagata, Emi Oishi, Kozo Anno, Nobuyuki Sudo, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Emotional loneliness is associated with a risk of dementia in a general Japanese older population: the Hisayama Study., The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences, 10.1093/geronb/gbaa196, 76, 9, 1756-1766, 2020.11, OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of loneliness and its component subscales with the risk of dementia in a general Japanese older population. METHOD: A total of 1,141 community-dwelling Japanese residents aged ≥65 years without dementia were prospectively followed up for a median 5.0 years. We evaluated any loneliness and its component subscales-namely, social and emotional loneliness-by using the 6-Item de Jong Gierveld Loneliness Scale. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of each loneliness type on the risk of dementia controlling for demographic factors, lifestyle factors, physical factors, social isolation factors, and depression. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 114 participants developed dementia. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate of dementia was significantly greater in participants with any loneliness and emotional loneliness than those without. The multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% confidence intervals) of participants with any loneliness and emotional loneliness on incident dementia were 1.61 (1.08-2.40) and 1.65 (1.07-2.54), respectively, as compared to those without. However, there was no significant association between social loneliness and dementia risk. In subgroup analyses of social isolation factors, excess risks of dementia associated with emotional loneliness were observed in participants who had a partner, lived with someone, or rarely communicated with relatives or friends, but such association was not significant in participants who had no partner, lived alone, or frequently communicated with friends or relatives. DISCUSSION: The present study suggested that loneliness, especially emotional loneliness, was a significant risk factor for the development of dementia in the general older population in Japan..
18. Yozo Hatabe, Mao Shibata, Tomoyuki Ohara, Emi Oishi, Daigo Yoshida, Takanori Honda, Jun Hata, Shigenobu Kanba, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Decline in Handgrip Strength From Midlife to Late-Life is Associated With Dementia in a Japanese Community: The Hisayama Study., Journal of epidemiology, 10.2188/jea.JE20180137, 30, 1, 15-23, 2020.01, BACKGROUND: The association between decline in handgrip strength from midlife to late life and dementia is unclear. METHODS: Japanese community-dwellers without dementia aged 60 to 79 years (ie, individuals in late life; mean age, 68 years) were followed for 24 years (1988-2012) (n = 1,055); 835 of them had participated in a health examination in 1973-1974 (mean age, 53 years), and these earlier data were used for the midlife analysis. Using a Cox proportional hazards model, we estimated the risk conferred by a decline in handgrip strength over a 15-year period (1973-74 to 1988) from midlife to late life on the development of total dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VaD) over the late-life follow-up period from 1988 to 2012. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 368 subjects experienced total dementia. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of total dementia increased significantly with greater decline in handgrip strength (increased or unchanged handgrip strength [≥+0%] 25.1, mildly decreased [-14 to -1%] 28.4, and severely decreased [≤-15%] 38.9 per 1,000 person-years). A greater decline in handgrip strength was significantly associated with higher risk of total dementia after adjusting for potential confounding factors; subjects with severely decreased handgrip strength had 1.51-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.14-1.99, P
19. Akane Mihara, Tomoyuki Ohara, Jun Hata, Takanori Honda, Sanmei Chen, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Tomohiro Nakao, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Association between serum glycated albumin and risk of cardiovascular disease in a Japanese community: The Hisayama Study., Atherosclerosis, 10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2020.08.016, 311, 52-59, 2020.10, BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to investigate the association of serum glycated albumin (GA) levels with the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its subtypes, including coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, in a general Japanese population. METHODS: A total of 2965 Japanese community-dwellers aged ≥40 years were followed prospectively for a median of 10.2 years (2002-2012). Serum GA was measured by the enzymatic method and divided into quartiles. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of serum GA levels on CVD risk. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 213 subjects developed CVD; 95 had CHD, and 133 had stroke. The cumulative incidence of CVD, CHD, and stroke increased significantly with increasing serum GA levels (all p for trend
20. Takaya Sasaki, Kensuke Izumaru, Jun Hata, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Takuya Nagata, Nobuo Tsuboi, Yoshinao Oda, Takanari Kitazono, Takashi Yokoo, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Serum NT-proBNP levels and histopathological myocardial fibrosis in autopsied cases from a Japanese community: The Hisayama Study., Journal of cardiology, 10.1016/j.jjcc.2021.03.014, 78, 3, 237-243, 2021.09, BACKGROUND: natriuretic peptide is associated with myocardial fibrosis in animal models and among patients with heart disease. However, it remains unclear whether serum N-terminal pro-B-type peptide (NT-proBNP) levels are associated with histopathologically proven myocardial fibrosis among individuals without apparent heart disease. This study aimed to evaluate the association between serum NT-proBNP levels and the histopathologically estimated myocardial fibrotic area in autopsied samples from a community. METHODS: we selected 63 cases without apparent heart disease with available data of serum NT-proBNP concentrations within six years before death (average age: 82 years; male: 52%) from autopsied cases in a community, and evaluated the percentage areas of myocardial fibrosis in four cardiac segments from each case (i.e. 252 cardiac segments in total). The association between serum NT-proBNP levels and the percentage area of myocardial fibrosis was estimated using a linear mixed model for repeated measures. RESULTS: serum NT-proBNP levels were positively correlated with myocardial fibrotic area [Pearson's correlation coefficient: r = 0.49 (95% confidence interval: 0.28-0.66), p 
21. Jun Hata, Takuya Nagata, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Yoshihiko Furuta, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Takanori Honda, Daigo Yoshida, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Risk Prediction Model for Incident Atrial Fibrillation in a General Japanese Population - The Hisayama Study., Circulation journal : official journal of the Japanese Circulation Society, 10.1253/circj.CJ-20-0794, 85, 8, 1373-1382, 2021.07, BACKGROUND: The risk prediction of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is useful to prevent AF and its complications. The aim of this study is to develop a new risk prediction model for incident AF using the prospective longitudinal data from a general Japanese population.Methods and Results:A total of 2,442 community-dwelling AF-free residents aged ≥40 years were followed up from 1988 to 2012 (46,422 person-years). The development of AF was confirmed by a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram at repeated health examinations and by medical records at clinics or hospitals. The risk prediction model for incident AF was developed using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow up, 230 AF events were confirmed. Age, sex, systolic blood pressure, waist circumference, estimated glomerular filtration rate, abnormal cardiac murmur, high R-wave amplitude, and arrhythmia other than AF were selected for inclusion in the model. This model showed good discrimination (Harrell's c statistics: 0.785) and calibration (Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino test: P=0.87) for AF risk at 10 years. CONCLUSIONS: The new risk prediction model showed good performance on the individual risk assessment of the future onset of AF in a general Japanese population. As this model included commonly used clinical parameters, it may be useful for determining the requirements for the careful evaluation of AF, such as frequent electrocardiogram examinations in clinical settings, and subsequent reductions in the risk of AF-related complications..
22. Takaya Sasaki, Emi Oishi, Takuya Nagata, Satoko Sakata, Sanmei Chen, Yoshihiko Furuta, Takanori Honda, Daigo Yoshida, Jun Hata, Nobuo Tsuboi, Takanari Kitazono, Takashi Yokoo, Toshiharu Ninomiya, N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and Incident CKD., Kidney international reports, 10.1016/j.ekir.2021.01.006, 6, 4, 976-985, 2021.04, Introduction: Serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels have been associated with the progression of kidney impairment among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but only a few studies have investigated the association between serum NT-proBNP levels and incident CKD in general populations. Methods: A total of 2486 Japanese community-dwelling residents ≥40 years of age without CKD at baseline were followed up by repeated annual health examinations for 10 years. Participants were divided into 4 groups according to serum NT-proBNP levels. CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 
23. Sanmei Chen, Takanori Honda, Jun Hata, Satoko Sakata, Yoshihiko Furuta, Daigo Yoshida, Mao Shibata, Tomoyuki Ohara, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Emi Oishi, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, High Serum Folate Concentrations Are Associated with Decreased Risk of Mortality among Japanese Adults., The Journal of nutrition, 10.1093/jn/nxaa382, 151, 3, 657-665, 2021.03, BACKGROUND: Folate and vitamin B-12 are essential nutrients for normal cell growth and replication, but the association of serum folate and vitamin B-12 concentrations with mortality risk remains uncertain. OBJECTIVE: This study was performed to investigate the associations of serum folate and vitamin B-12 concentrations with mortality risk and test whether the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) C677T polymorphism modifies these associations. METHODS: A total of 3050 Japanese community residents aged ≥40 y were prospectively followed-up for mortality between 2002 and 2012. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic splines were used to estimate HRs and 95% CIs of mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 10.2 y, 336 participants died. Higher serum folate concentrations were associated with lower risks of all-cause mortality [multivariable-adjusted HR: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.56, 0.96 for the second tertile (8.8-12.2 nmol/L; median 10.4 nmol/L) and HR: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.46, 0.80 for the third tertile (≥12.5 nmol/L; median 15.6 nmol/L) serum folate concentrations compared with the first tertile (≤8.6 nmol/L; median 7.0 nmol/L)]. This association remained significant in all sensitivity analyses. Spline analyses showed a steady decline in all-cause mortality risk with increasing serum folate concentrations up to 20-25 nmol/L. This association persisted regardless of the MTHFR C677T genotypes. For serum vitamin B-12, the multivariable-adjusted HR of 1.32 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.79) of all-cause mortality was marginally significantly greater in the first tertile compared with the second tertile. This association was attenuated and nonsignificant after the exclusion of participants with a history of cardiovascular disease or cancer, or participants aged ≥85 y at baseline, or deaths in the first 3 y of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Serum folate concentrations were inversely associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in Japanese adults. Serum vitamin B-12 concentrations were not consistently associated with all-cause mortality risk after accounting for reverse-causation bias..
24. Emi Oishi, Jun Hata, Takanori Honda, Satoko Sakata, Sanmei Chen, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Daigo Yoshida, Mao Shibata, Tomoyuki Ohara, Yoshihiko Furuta, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Development of a risk prediction model for incident hypertension in Japanese individuals: the Hisayama Study., Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension, 10.1038/s41440-021-00673-7, 44, 9, 1221-1229, 2021.09, The identification of individuals at high risk of developing hypertension can be of great value to improve the efficiency of primary prevention strategies for hypertension. The objective of this study was to develop a risk prediction model for incident hypertension based on prospective longitudinal data from a general Japanese population. A total of 982 subjects aged 40-59 years without hypertension at baseline were followed up for 10 years (2002-12) for the incidence of hypertension. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg, or the use of antihypertensive agents. The risk prediction model was developed using a Cox proportional hazards model. A simple risk scoring system was also established based on the developed model. During the follow-up period (median 10 years, interquartile range 5-10 years), 302 subjects (120 men and 182 women) developed new-onset hypertension. The risk prediction model for hypertension consisted of age, sex, SBP, DBP, use of glucose-lowering agents, body mass index (BMI), parental history of hypertension, moderate-to-high alcohol intake, and the interaction between age and BMI. The developed model demonstrated good discrimination (Harrell's C statistic=0.812 [95% confidence interval, 0.791-0.834]; optimism-corrected C statistic based on 200 bootstrap samples=0.804) and calibration (Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino χ2 statistic=12.2). This risk prediction model is a useful guide for estimating an individual's absolute risk for hypertension and could facilitate the management of Japanese individuals at high risk of developing hypertension in the future..
25. Takanori Honda, Yuki Ishida, Masaaki Oda, Kenichi Noguchi, Sanmei Chen, Satoko Sakata, Emi Oishi, Yoshihiko Furuta, Daigo Yoshida, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Jun Hata, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Changes in Body Weight and Concurrent Changes in Cardiovascular Risk Profiles in Community Residents in Japan: the Hisayama Study., Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis, 10.5551/jat.59394, 29, 2, 252-267, 2021.01, AIM: We investigated the influence of weight change on concurrent changes in predicted cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and individual CVD risk factors over time. METHODS: A total of 2,140 community-dwellers aged 40-74 years participated in both 2002 and 2007 health examinations. Obesity was defined as body mass index ≥ 25 kg/m2. Weight trajectories were classified as: "stable obese" (obese at both examinations), "obese to nonobese" (obese in 2002 but nonobese in 2007), "nonobese to obese" (nonobese in 2002 but obese in 2007), or "stable nonobese" (nonobese at both examinations). We compared changes in the model-predicted risk for CVD and individual CVD risk factors across weight-change categories. RESULTS: The predicted risk for CVD increased during 5 years in all groups; the increment in the predicted risk for CVD was smallest in the obese to nonobese participants and steepest in the nonobese to obese subjects. Compared with the stable obese participants, the obese to nonobese participants had greater favorable changes in waist circumferences, blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose, serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, serum triglycerides, and liver enzymes. For all these parameters, opposite trends were observed when comparing the nonobese to obese participants with the stable nonobese group. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated the favorable association of losing weight in obese people and avoiding excessive weight gain in nonobese people with global risk of future CVD and individual CVD risk factors in a real-world setting. The findings could improve behavioral lifestyle interventions that provide information on the health consequences of weight change at health checkups..
26. Yasumi Kimura, Daigo Yoshida, Tomoyuki Ohara, Jun Hata, Takanori Honda, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Mao Shibata, Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Yoshihiko Furuta, Sanmei Chen, Kazuhiro Uchida, Tomohiro Nakao, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Long-term association of vegetable and fruit intake with risk of dementia in Japanese older adults: the Hisayama study., BMC geriatrics, 10.1186/s12877-022-02939-2, 22, 1, 257-257, 2022.03, BACKGROUND: Several prospective Western studies have reported an inverse association of vegetable and fruit intake with dementia risk. However, there is limited epidemiologic evidence in Asians. This study investigated the association of intakes of vegetables, fruits, and their nutrients on the risk of incident dementia and its subtypes in a Japanese community. METHODS: A total of 1071 participants (452 men and 619 women) aged ≥60 years without dementia at baseline were prospectively followed up for 24 years. Intakes of vegetables, fruits, and nutrients were evaluated using a 70-item semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire at baseline and were categorized into quartiles separately by gender. The outcome measure was the development of dementia and its subtypes-namely, Alzheimer's disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD). The risk estimates of incident dementia were computed using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: During the long-term follow-up period, 464 subjects developed dementia, of whom 286 had AD and 144 had VaD. Higher vegetable intake was associated gradually with lower risk of developing dementia and AD (both P-trend
27. Yasuyuki Nakanishi, Yoshihiko Furuta, Jun Hata, Tomohiro Yubi, Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Yoshinobu Wakisaka, Tetsuro Ago, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Long-Term Trends in The 5-Year Risk of Recurrent Stroke over A Half Century in A Japanese Community: The Hisayama Study., Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis, 10.5551/jat.63344, 2022.02, AIM: Secular trends in the risk of recurrent stroke have been reported in several epidemiological studies worldwide, but this issue has not been investigated in general Japanese populations. We examined the trends in the 5-year risk of recurrent stroke over a half century using community-based prospective data in Japan. METHODS: We established 4 cohort studies in 1961, 1974, 1988, and 2002. To examine the risk of recurrent stroke, participants who developed stroke during a 10-year follow-up period in each cohort were followed-up for 5 years from the date of first onset. A total of 154 (first sub-cohort: 1961-1971), 144 (second sub-cohort: 1974-1984), 172 (third sub-cohort: 1988-1998), and 146 (fourth sub-cohort: 2002-2012) participants from each cohort were enrolled in the present study. The 5-year cumulative risk of recurrent stroke was compared among the sub-cohorts using the Kaplan-Meier method and the age- and sex-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: The risks of recurrent stroke after any stroke and ischemic stroke decreased significantly from the first to the third sub-cohort, but they did not clearly change from the third to the fourth sub-cohort. The risk of recurrent stroke after hemorrhagic stroke decreased mainly from the first to the second sub-cohort and there was no apparent decrease from the second to the fourth sub-cohort. These trends were substantially unchanged after adjusting for age and sex. CONCLUSIONS: In the Japanese community, the risk of recurrent stroke decreased mainly from the 1960s to 1990s, but there was no apparent decrease in recent years..
28. Takanori Honda, Sanmei Chen, Jun Hata, Mao Shibata, Yoshihiko Furuta, Emi Oishi, Satoko Sakata, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Changes in the Eicosapentaenoic Acid to Arachidonic Acid Ratio in Serum over 10 Years in a Japanese Community: The Hisayama Study., Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis, 10.5551/jat.63727, 2022.09, AIM: Circulating omega-3 and omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acids may to contribute to cardiovascular health at the population level. Over a decade, we investigated changes in the serum eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) to arachidonic acid (AA) ratio, and in serum concentrations of the individual fatty acids, in a Japanese community. METHODS: Community surveys took place in 2002-2003 and 2012-2013 in a rural area of Japan. The community surveys included 3,194 and 3,220 community dwellers aged ≥ 40 years who did not take EPA medication in 2002-2003 and 2012-2013, respectively. Fatty acid fractionations in serum were measured using a gas chromatography method. Changes in the serum EPA/AA ratio over time were examined using linear mixed models. RESULTS: Overall, the average serum EPA/AA ratio decreased over the 10 years. A decreasing trend in the serum EPA/AA ratio occurred in all age groups except participants aged ≥ 80 years, with larger decreases in the younger age groups. A similar decline in serum EPA/AA ratio occurred in participants with and those without lipid-lowering therapy. Serum EPA concentrations were slightly increased in the whole population but remained stable or even decreased in participants aged 40-69. In contrast, the average serum AA concentrations increased in all age groups. CONCLUSION: In a Japanese community, the serum EPA/AA ratio decreased over 10 years at the population level, especially in middle-aged participants..
29. Takanori Honda, Yoichiro Hirakawa, Jun Hata, Sanmei Chen, Mao Shibata, Satoko Sakata, Yoshihiko Furuta, Mayu Higashioka, Emi Oishi, Takanari Kitazono, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Active commuting, commuting modes and the risk of diabetes: 14-year follow-up data from the Hisayama study., Journal of diabetes investigation, 10.1111/jdi.13844, 2022.05, AIMS/INTRODUCTION: We aimed to investigate the association of active commuting (cycling or walking to work), as well as the association of the individual commuting modes, with the risk of diabetes in a prospective cohort of community-dwelling adults in Japan. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 1,270 residents aged 40-79 years were followed up for a median of 14 years. Active commuting was defined as either cycling or walking to work. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association of active commuting with the risk of diabetes. Associations for different forms of active commuting (cycling, walking and mixed modes of cycling or walking with non-active components) were also examined. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 191 participants developed diabetes. Active commuting was associated with a lower risk of diabetes than non-active commuting after adjustment for potential confounders (hazard ratio [HR] 0.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.31-0.92). With regard to the commuting modes, the risk of diabetes was significantly lower in individuals who commuted by cycling alone (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.22-0.98), and tended to be lower in individuals who commuted by walking alone (HR 0.14, 95% CI 0.02-1.02) compared with that in individuals with non-active commuting. Meanwhile, no significant associations were observed for the mixed mode of walking and non-active commuting (HR 1.69, 95% CI 0.77-3.71). CONCLUSIONS: Active commuting, particularly that consisting exclusively of cycling or walking, was associated with a reduced risk of diabetes. Our findings support a public health policy that promotes the choice of active commuting for the prevention of diabetes..