Updated on 2026/04/14

Information

 

写真a

 
TOKUDA SATORU
 
Organization
Institute of Mathematics for Industry Division of Industrial and Mathematical Statistics Associate Professor
Joint Graduate School of Mathematics for Innovation (Concurrent)
Research Institute for Information Technology Pan-Omics Data-Driven Innovation Research Center (Concurrent)
Research Center for Synchrotron Light Applications (Concurrent)
School of Sciences Department of Mathematics(Concurrent)
Graduate School of Mathematics Department of Mathematics(Concurrent)
Title
Associate Professor
Contact information
メールアドレス
External link

Degree

  • Ph.D. ( 2017.3 The University of Tokyo )

Research History

  • National Institutes for Quantum and Radiological Science and Technology Institute for Advanced Synchrotron Light Source Visiting Researcher 

    2026.4 - Present

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Research Interests・Research Keywords

  • Research theme: Bridge between measurements and mathematical modeling via Bayesian inference

    Keyword: Bayesian statistics, modeling, uncertainty quantification, statistical physics of inference

    Research period: 2020.4 - Present

Papers

  • Gaussian process regression for thermal transport analysis in infrared imaging video bolometry Reviewed International coauthorship

    T. Nishizawa, G. Partesotti, S. Tokuda, G. A. Wurden, K. A. Siever, N. Maaziz, V. R. Winters, O. P. Ford, K. Mukai, B. J. Peterson, K. Munechika, F. Reimold

    Review of Scientific Instruments   97 ( 3 )   033503   2026.3   ISSN:0034-6748 eISSN:1089-7623

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Review of Scientific Instruments  

    Accurate characterization of thermal diffusion and blackbody radiation on the detector foil is crucial in infrared imaging video bolometry (IRVB) for reliably inferring the spatial distribution of plasma radiation. This paper presents a new inference framework for modeling blackbody radiation and thermal diffusion power densities using Gaussian process regression. This method is validated with both synthetic and experimental IRVB data, producing reliable results without the need for temporal or spatial averaging. In addition, the effects of noise level and foil material are analyzed, and both the limitations of this framework and strategies for improving its performance are identified.

    DOI: 10.1063/5.0313633

    Web of Science

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    PubMed

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  • Inference of flow shear from reciprocating plasma potential measurements by means of Gaussian process regression Reviewed International coauthorship

    T. Nishizawa, P. Manz, S. Tokuda, G. Grenfell, M. Sasaki, S. Inagaki, Y. Kawachi, A. Fujisawa

    Physics of Plasmas   32 ( 3 )   2025.3   ISSN:1070-664X eISSN:1089-7674

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AIP Publishing  

    Reliable estimation of equilibrium flow shear from reciprocating probe measurements is challenging since the quantity of interest corresponds to the second derivative of the observable plasma potential. In addition, a time series of the plasma potential obtained by plunging a probe is affected by both the probe head position and plasma fluctuations, complicating the estimation of equilibrium components and their errors. We tackle this problem by employing Gaussian process regression that is able to infer even the derivatives of a spatial or temporal profile in the form of a probability distribution function. The proposed inference framework is validated by using synthetic data generated by gyrofluid simulations. While the inference result based on a single plunge is unstable in certain spatial locations, we have obtained reasonable agreement between the inference result and the true flow shear profile by combining data sets taken from several plunges.

    DOI: 10.1063/5.0254473

    Web of Science

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  • Equilibrium reconstruction of axisymmetric plasmas by combining Gaussian process regression and Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling Reviewed

    Takashi Nishizawa, Satoru Tokuda, Akio Sanpei, Makoto Hasegawa, Kotaro Yamasaki, Akihide Fujisawa

    Plasma Physics and Controlled Fusion   67 ( 1 )   015006   2025.1   ISSN:0741-3335 eISSN:1361-6587

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:IOP Publishing  

    Reliable equilibrium reconstruction is indispensable for understanding and controlling hot magnetized plasmas to achieve fusion reactors. In axisymmetric systems, current and pressure profiles that satisfy the force balance conditions are given by the Grad-Shafranov (GS) equation. While many novel approaches have been developed to swiftly and robustly find an optimum solution of the GS equation, approaches based on a single solution search may not be adaptable if diagnostics fail to provide sufficient constraints. Here, we investigate the solution space of the GS equation when only basic edge magnetic measurements are available. By combining Gaussian process regression and Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling within the Bayesian framework, we treat each current element as an independent variable and evaluate the probability distribution that describes all possible solutions. We have applied this inference frame to the geometry of the PLATO tokamak and shown that the flux surface locations can be determined relatively well only from 16 pick-up coils, 4 flux loops and a diamagnetic loop. On the other hand, the toroidal current density is inferred with limited success, and the inferences of the safety factor and pressure profiles are difficult. The characterization of possible choices of equilibria realized by this inference frame will help optimize diagnostic setups for equilibrium reconstruction.

    DOI: 10.1088/1361-6587/ad9521

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    Other Link: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1361-6587/ad9521/pdf

  • Local structural modelling and local pair distribution function analysis for Zr–Pt metallic glass Reviewed

    Akihiko Hirata, Satoru Tokuda, Chihiro Nakajima, Siyuan Zha

    Scientific Reports   14 ( 1 )   2024.6

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-64380-2

Presentations

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Professional Memberships

  • The Physical Society of Japan

  • The Japan Statistical Society

Academic Activities

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Research Projects

  • 計測データに根ざしたモデリング原理の革新

    2023 - 2026

    JST Strategic Basic Research Program (Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology)

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    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Contract research

Class subject

  • 数理学基礎講究Ⅱ

    2026.4 - Present   Full year

  • 数学展望

    2026.4 - Present   First semester

  • 数理学基礎講究Ⅰ

    2025.10 - Present   Full year

  • 数理学講究第II

    2025.4 - Present   Full year

  • 常微分方程式とラプラス変換

    2024.10 - Present   Second semester

  • 数理学講究第Ⅰ

    2024.10 - Present   Second semester

  • 数学展望I

    2024.4 - 2025.9   First semester

  • 確率・統計特論Ⅱ

    2023.12 - 2024.2   Winter quarter

  • 確率・統計特論Ⅰ

    2023.10 - 2023.12   Fall quarter

  • 数理統計学

    2022.10 - 2023.3   Second semester

  • 数理統計学

    2022.4 - Present   First semester

  • 統計数学・演習

    2021.10 - 2022.3   Second semester

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Visiting, concurrent, or part-time lecturers at other universities, institutions, etc.

  • 2024  大阪大学  Classification:Intensive course  Domestic/International Classification:Japan 

    Semester, Day Time or Duration:夏学期

Social Activities

  • “およそ”を定める数学 - データにひそむ宇宙の調和を見出そう

    Role(s):Lecturer

    九州大学マス・フォア・インダストリ研究所 (IMI)、福岡県教育庁  福岡県高校生対象アウトリーチ「Math for the Future Vol.2」  2025.12

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    Audience:High school students

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  • Study Group Workshop 2025

    Role(s):Organizing member

    九州大学マス・フォア・インダストリ研究所、九州大学大学院数理学研究院・大学院数理学府・理学部数学科  2025.4 - 2026.3

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    Audience:College students, Graduate students, Researchesrs, Scientific, Company, Governmental agency

    Type:Seminar, workshop

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  • Study Group Workshop 2024

    Role(s):Organizing member

    九州大学マス・フォア・インダストリ研究所、九州大学大学院数理学研究院・大学院数理学府・理学部数学科  2024.4 - 2025.3

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    Audience:College students, Graduate students, Researchesrs, Scientific, Company, Governmental agency

    Type:Seminar, workshop

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